Day: March 14, 2012

GE13 “Pakatan in Putrajaya “

10 Comments

Sarawak Independant Pelagus YB George Lagong said this morning,”It’s not looking so good for BN. But one musts remember in the pursuit of Putrajaya both sides have equal chances to win in a General Election. If one wants to “shine” do you tell the other person how you are going to shine?

In my case,”Ulu Rejang I will not be overly confident eventhough in recent days a number of disturbing reports have appeared against his party and the incumbent. This report will do more harm than good for the incumbent http://www.sarawakreport.org/2012/03/helping-his-constituents-or-helping-himself-billy-abit-joo-expose/

Independant YB George Lagong do share the same thoughts as the PAS deputy leader Mohamad Sabu who said” Pakatan may win more seats in the next election but it would be difficult to topple BN.” The full report can be read in FMT but we extract some points for your analysis:-

Mat Sabu forecasts that Pakatan would need to win some 20 to 25 parliamentary seats in Sabah and Sarawak if the coalition were to knock BN off its perch. But for now, he predicts Pakatan winning only between 10 and 15 seats in those states, particularly in urban areas like Kuching, Sibu, Miri, Kota Kinabalu, Tawau and Sandakan.

2008 the BN coalition won 140 to 82 Pakatan. We look at Sarawak grey/black seats which audie61 have put up about a week ago. The 82 seats then 1 each were from Sabah/Sarawak. We add it up to at worst in Sarawak 15 (see below) and Sabah 6 which equals 21. If Pakatan maintains in Peninsular 80 and add 15 seats it will be all over for BN Government.

95+21=116 To Pakatan, BN 106

WILL THAT HAPPEN? OR IS THIS REVERSE PSYCOLOGY….??

PM Najib would be looking over his shoulders and now he will not leave anything to chance. Sarawak/Sabah has 56 seats and he will do utmosts within his powers to ensure the figures of 15 from Sarawak is reached and 6 in Sabah. It could even be the other way round as Sabahans have a track record of toppling State governments USNO and PBS felt the change of voting trends and the wrath of people power. 

With everything on the line Najib and his strategists will not chanced anything and will study ground reports,receive feedbacks from relevant sources and also take out the obstacles which might hinder a BN comfortable win. 

Some of the 15 BN grey/black seats belongs to:-

  • 1.P192-Mas Gading Tiki Lafe SPDP(Party Infighting)
  • 2.P196-Stampin Yong Khoon Seng SUPP( Party infighting-Chinese voters)
  • 3.P199-Serian Richard Riot SUPP (Party Infighting)
  • 4.P120 Batang Sadong-Nancy Shukri PBB(candidate infighting)
  • 5.P201 Batang Lupar-Rohani Abdul Karim PBB (candidate infighting)
  • 6.P202 Sri Aman-Masir Kujat PRS(voters anger)
  • 7. P203 Lubok Antu -William Ngallau Badak PRS (voters anger)
  • 8. P205-Saratok Jelaing Mersait SPDP (party infighting)
  • 9. P208 Sarikei-Ding Kuong Hing SUPP (party infighting-chinese voters)
  • 10.P211 -Lanang Tiong Thai King (Party infighting-Chinese voters )
  • 11.P213 Mukah-Leo Toyad  PBB(candidate infighting)
  • 12.P216 Ulu Rejang Billy Abit PRS (candidate infighting-voters anger)
  • 13.P219 Miri Peter Chin Fah Kui (Party infighting -chinese voters)
  • 14.P220 Baram Jacob Sagan SPDP(Party infighting)
  • 15.P221 Limbang Hasbi Habibolah PBB(Candidate infighting)

PAKATAN IN PUTRAJAYA WILL MATERIALISE SAYS YB GEORGE IF BN CONTINUES BATTLING AGAINST THEMSELVES. PAKATANS STRENGTHS ARE ALL DUE TO BN’s WEAKNESSES..