DAP “No Room for Personal Views”

  • DAP Rule No.1  “you musts not speak your mind against the party leadership
  • DAP Rule No.2 ” If UNCLEAR  refer to Rule No.1
  • DAP Rule No.3  “same as above

Was DAP vice-president Tunku Abdul Aziz Tunku Ibrahim remarks so damaging that he will be dropped from his senator’s post without even going through a disciplinary board of the party? Was Tunku even hauled up to explain? This is indeed a very face damaging episode for a senior politician in the party. 

 This extracted ( Tunku Abdul Aziz was expected to face censure from the DAP after his remarks rejecting the April 28 Bersih 3.0 sit-in in Kuala Lumpur.Moreover DAP secretary-general Lim Guan Eng has said”his comment has placed the party in an “embarrassing position” 

We can write until we run out of words but you who are reading this article can certainly make up your own opinions and express your views.

Maybe when your comments go overboard (#$%@^&0)  are too much we will spam you and also drop you from our lists. (hik hik hik)

HAS DAP BECOME AN AUTHORITARIAN PARTY..?? 

SPDP5 “Reconciliation…??”

BN Sarawak Chairman and CM Taib has said this two statements today,’

1.If they want to be as they are like their present situation, then let it  be…give them time to probably find a way to reconcile. I think that is not  completely impossible.“I think SPDP has much to lose and without five of its elected  representatives the party is not in a good position.

2.Taib Mahmud yesterday shot down the idea of a new party to accommodate the  five elected representatives who were sacked from SPDP recently for gross  insubordination.

“I don’t think that (formation of a new party) is a good idea because there  will be many hurdles for them to overcome.“They have to get the consensus of all Barisan Nasional (BN) parties to  enable them to be accepted as a member of BN … so it is quite a big hurdle’

WELL READ THE ABOVE  TWO STATEMENTS AND DIGRESS…

There were many frantic phone calls and sms received by grassroots supporters and many were unhappy with CMs statement. But remember he has to balance his ship or the whole crew will start fighting and the ship will be veared off course.

SPDP “thinking caps” are already put in place and basically SPDP has the upper hand. The constitution is above all and CM Taib does follow the RULE OF LAW and its up to the sacked SPDP5 to interpret. CM is a trained lawyer and he has helmed the political ladder in Sarawak for a good 30 years.

Does the SPDP5 know their roles and their constitutional  laws..?

I might be wrong but I remember rightly during the height of the PRS crisis the then Chief Political secretary of CM who is now Assistant Minister Karim Hamzah said,”We follow the constitutional law in politics but we go around it sometimes to suit the political climate.”

We can quote to you as the DSG Paul Igai said,”we got the upperhand and ArticleX111  No. 5. states Any decision of the Supreme Council on the sacking shall be final and shall not be appealed from and questioned in any Tribunal or Court of Law.” 

CM Taib knows this and he knows by the next elections if these YBs are not back in their respective parties SPDP they will lose their seats and will not be renominated. Clear examples being former YB Larry Sng,YB Gabriel Adit,YB Stanley Ajang,YB Jawah Gerah,YB Jimmy Donald.

Did Larry get renominated by PRS…??

In article XIX of the constitution if i may:-

 1.Any person who has resigned,being expelled or whose membership has been cancelled for any reason whatsoever,may apply to be re-admitted as a member of the party after a lapse of two (2 years) after his resignation,expulsion or cancellation of his membership unless the Supreme Council determine otherwise which the decision of the Supreme Council is FINAL

CM Taib has been advised and he knows time is a healer eventhough the scar might remain.

RECONCILIATION….Hmmm

Anwar “UMNO I CAN READ..??”

Anwar Ibrahim now an Antropologists { The scientific study of the origin, the behavior, and the physical, social, and cultural development of humans) or Mind Reader {  a person professing the ability of mind reading}?

You will have your say and I will not be the judge of this man Anwar Ibrahim. A BN leader even mentioned to me when this bernama report on GE13 surfaced ,”Anwar never fails to give everyone a jolt or two.His words are more of a wake up call to his Pakatan group” 

Well,this man never seems to give us a dull moment. You either love him or hate him. The reason as he tickled a few in UMNO in this political satement,‘Because I can read their mind as I used to be one of them, too,” He was referring to he himself being an UMNO Deputy President before he was sacked in 1998 and very much part of the team which wage electorial wars against the Opposition parties of DAP,PAS and Semangat 46.

If he is correct the Pakatan hierarchy will no doubt praise him.

 HAIL  OUR PM IN WAITING ANWAR..!!

WHAT IF HE IS WRONG?

IT”S IN NAJIBS HANDS AND ONLY PM NAJIB WILL ANNOUNCE THE DATE FOR DISSOLUTION PAVING THE WAY FOR GE13.

BN WILL CERTAINLY PROVE ANWAR WRONG WON’T THEY..?? 

Extracted from Bernama report

The opposition leader of Malaysia, Anwar Ibrahim, has predicted the 13th general election in Malaysia to be held sooner than expected.

He said most of the opposition coalition leaders in Pakatan Rakyat had, during a recent meeting, predicted the election be held either in May or June.

They based their predictions on the various recent government assistance to the people that is scheduled to be delivered by March, he said.  

“But I think it will be held sooner. Why? Because I can read their mind as I used to be one of them, too,” he said during ‘An Evening with Anwar Ibrahim’ at the Foreign Correspondents’ Club of Thailand (FCCT) in Bangkok last night.  

The five-year term of the current Malaysian government led by Barisan Nasional (BN) ends in March next year and the general election need to be called before that dateline.

 

Sarawak 2011-A Bernama”s Interpretation

A day before the New Year an article by Caroline Jackson Bernama Bureau chief appears in Malaysiakini. How fitting to say a few words at the end of a very eventful year for Sarawakians at the polls. The road ahead is anything but smooth for the ruling BN government and certain things needs to be put right or the nightmare will be prolonged for some BN coalition parties. However we must take into account and be Thankful to our Leaders for our state is very much free from security fears,religious persecution and racial hatred.

Sarawakians by and large have our differences but we do not let emotions take control and still live harmoniously alongside each other peacefully. Long may this continue and lets wish 2011 a fond farewell and may we welcome 2012 with open arms.

The management and staff of audie61 wishes all allies.supporters,friends and partners a very Happy and Prosperous New Year 2012. We are always by and with you as far as Sarawak is concerned. “Berjuang untuk Negeri Sarawak” All the bests to all of you and thanks for the  support during 2011 and please continue your undivided support during 2012 .

Extracted from internet portal an article by Caroline Jackson(Bernama Sarawak bureau chief)

The year of the Rabbit saw Sarawakians going  to the polls in the 10th state election on April 16, the biggest in the state’s history.      In terms of statistics, it boasted of a total of 979,796 registered voters, 1,749 polling centres and 213 candidates vying for the 71 state seats at stake throughout the length and breadth of Sarawak.      BN emerged from the polls with 55 seats, seven short of their 2006 tally.
Parti Pesaka Bumiputera (PBB) led by Abdul Taib Mahmud (left) repeated a clean sweep of 35 seats it contested in, but the four-party coalition suffered a setback when the Sarawak United People’s Party (SUPP) was again dealt a heavy beating resulting in the party’s worst performance in its 51-year-old history.
The then SUPP president George Chan said the predominantly Chinese party worked so hard with the hope of retaining its seats from 2006 but was crushed, losing 13 seats out of the 19 seats contested to become the biggest BN casualty.
“If the May 2006 electoral disaster was etched in our memory for a long, long time, then the April 16, 2011 results could be a very bad nightmare for SUPP,” said Chan, who failed to defend the Piasau seat in Miri, which he had served since 1983, against a DAP newcomer, in his recently launched book, “What Now?”
But thanks to the predictable support from the rural-based Bumiputera voters, Parti Rakyat Sarawak (PRS) captured eight out of the nine seats it contested and thus debunked its tag as the “sick man” of the state BN, and in the process emerged as the second strongest partner in the state BN coalition.
PRS president James Jemut Masing credited the performance to its current image of stability and solidarity when political parties round them were cracking up – a far cry from its formation in 2004 following a bitter leadership struggle that had earlier led to the deregistration of Parti Bansa Dayak Sarawak (PBDS).
On the other hand, the Sarawak Progressive Democratic Party (SPDP), which won six out of eight seats contested, is currently facing an internal crisis with party president William Mawan quoted as saying that five “renegades” had created unnecessary tension and anxiety among party members and could even threaten its existence through sustained attacks against him in the press.
Subsequently on Nov 25, the SPDP supreme council sacked former secretary-general Sylvester Entri Muran from the party while four others – senior vice-president and Tasik Biru assemblyman Peter Nansian, vice-president and Mas Gading MP Tiki Lafe, information chief and Batu Danau assemblyman Paulus Palu Gumbang and another supreme council member and Bekenu assemblyman Rosey Yunus – were stripped of their posts due to insubordination.
Amid speculation of attempts to set up a new political party or join a BN component party, the estranged group of five retaliated that they had lost faith in Mawan, who said he would oppose any such attempts outright to re-enter the BN.     ‘SUPP won’t weaken S’wak BN’
Leveraging on issues, such as Native Customary Rights (NCR) land, land lease, Chinese education and even SUPP’s alleged “subservience” to PBB, the DAP won in all the 12 Chinese-majority seats while PKR, three, including the Orang Ulu seat of Ba’Kelalan by Sarawak PKR chief and NCR lawyer Baru Bian.
Ironically, George Lagong, who was sacked by PKR for contesting on his own, was the sole winner among the 41 independents in Pelagus.      However, with the 13th general election just around the corner, Sarawak BN secretary-general Stephen Rundi was confident that the current political scenario in the SUPP and SPDP would not affect the coalition’s strength.      –
Rundi, who is also PBB secretary-general, said the election machinery of all the state component parties was still intact, fresh from the state election.
“As you can see, Umno is the backbone of the BN and PBB is the backbone of the Sarawak BN, and we (PBB) are in the position to actually assist some smaller component parties to get themselves ready for the coming (13th general) election,” he had told Bernama.      Meanwhile, SUPP president Peter Chin, who was elected amid much controversy during the party’s polls early this month, said his immediate task was to unite his deeply divided party, repair its battered public image and win back the Chinese community.
The election, SUPP’s first ever direct party election, also saw five-term Serian Member of Parliament Richard Riot making history by becoming the first bumiputera to assume the deputy presidency, which was also expected to woo back its Dayak members to the party fold.
“We must go back to our members first and make them feel that they are part of the family of SUPP,” said Chin, who is also Miri Member of Parliament.

Bila SPDP”Correct…..??”

Eversince CM Sarawak mentioned all will be well within BN/SPDP the dirty linens went missing. The disciplinary committee of SPDP went about their business of putting the report with findings and recommendations ready for SPDP Supreme Council meeting.

Mawan the President finds no urgency in this matter,gives the Separatists 5 further”extra time” for them to seek “an olive branch”before he blows the final whistle. According to insider sources the next SC will be held towards the end of October and definitely justs before the next DUN sitting on 12th November 2011. 

3 questions however needs to be answered and hopefully you will be as good as our lawyer friend.

  • 1. Who submitted the name of Rosey to be elevated to be Assistant Minister? Answer….
  •  2. Will the 4 stay out even if Rosey comes back home? Answer
  • 3.Will the axe fall during the next  SC meeting? Answer…….

 

CORRECT,CORRECT,CORRECT

Wah! you are as good as VK Lingam the senior lawyer who brokered the appointment of friendly judges to senior positions in the judiciary and is well connected and powerful.

 Oooh! I forgot you must be one of those closely connected with PBB who has the final say. Don’t look around as the walls are closing in. We wrote this on March 30th 2010 in which even then CM Taib was even implicated.

Even one Ministers name was mentioned then and this we extract from what we wrote’,”Huh! Tak Ada Lah! Mana mahu Campur! Selalu orang pakai nama aku. Jangan dengar khabar angin saja“{ Huh! No way,Why should I interfere? Everytime people use my name .Dont listen to rumours only}

IS THE SPDP CRISIS OVER.? YOU TELL ME,YOU KNOW MORE….

Sarawak “It’s a TEAM Effort….”

In any field of work there must be competition and “one”must also not stand alone. I remember very well the words echoed out by the former Singapore Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew ” No man Is An Island ” and these words have stucked with me till today.

 One musts also know that great footballers today like Messi (Barcelona) and Ronaldo (Real Madrid) will not be able to play in their respective teams if the rests of the team just don’t want to pass the ball to them.

We worked and toiled like any team and of course we needed advices from our coaches in PBB and UMNO New Media Unit to guide us through. It was well worth the effort and the commitment shown was second to none by our bloggers.twitterers,graphic artists and facebookers.

 We are not selling ourselves but reminding people out there in the blogsphere the existence of this TEAM and willing to put in long hours and making sure the messages are received all the way to the ground.

THE TEAM THAT PLANS,EXECUTES & DELIVERS

and we are here to assist anyone who needs our services…..

P212 Sibu “Could it be False Alarm..??”

Frantic phone calls are being made to all BN supporters and sympathisers that this by election DAP/PR is gaining momentum. ,”We need a Final push and everyone is needed.”Even the PM is making a third appearance into Sibu and he will be at Rajang Park tonight for a Final Push for Votes.  

Even the sms which audie61 received states,”Pls get all your frens and relatives to Vote for BN.We really need to boost up last round of efforts to win d support of d voters.” TQVM for your kind support. What could have spark this reaction…? A political analysts said its this report from Malaysiakini which has really up the ante for BN…

DAP to win Sibu by 500 votes:-

Having not been in Malaysia for the past three years, I was surprised by some of the physical changes back home, including the rise of new commercial and residential developments in my home town, or should I say, home city, of Petaling Jaya.

Even the DAP headquarters in Section 20 in Paramount Gardens has gone though a significant face-lift. The few times I drove past this building this week, however, revealed a surprising lack of activity in the HQ of what is now the largest opposition party in the country and a party which holds more parliamentary and state seats than MCA, MIC and Gerakan combined.

It suddenly dawned on me that the whole administrative and leadership structure of DAP in Peninsular Malaysia had temporarily relocated to Sibu.

The DAP has been itching for an electoral fight since March 2008. Both PAS and PKR have had numerous opportunities to mobilise their electoral machinery for their respective candidates in the previous 10 post-March 2008 by-elections. Sibu finally presents an opportunity for DAP to do the same for its own candidate.

That this contest would be a close one was never in doubt. The BN won this seat in 2008 with only 53% of the popular vote and against a divided opposition. Even in the midst of the Pak Lah ‘tsunami’ in 2004, the SUPP won this seat with only 54% of the popular vote.

azlanMost of the analysis, reports and betting odds are in favour of the BN at the time of writing. However, the betting odds seemed to have narrowed significantly over the past week, down to approximately 1,000 votes in BN’s favour. The odds will probably narrow further come polling day tomorrow.

I have been wrong in my analysis in predicting the eventual winner (Hulu Selangor) and the margin of victory (Kuala Terengganu) in previous by-elections.

A good friend of mine observed that my predictions tend to be a little over-exuberant, shall we say, usually in favour of the Pakatan Rakyat candidate. This is not based on any inherent bias (though I have my own personal political preferences) but rather on the methodological framework and analytical assumptions I use in predicting by-election outcomes.

With this in mind, I will once again stick my neck out and predict a narrow DAP victory by less than 500 votes.

What is my prediction based on?

Decline in Chinese support

Firstly, I expect a decline in the Chinese support for SUPP. This should not be a surprise to anyone. Without an expected decline in the Chinese support, there is no possibility of a DAP victory in this 67% Chinese-majority seat.

azlanThe crucial question here is the extent of the decline in Chinese support. In the 2008 general election, the estimated level of Chinese support for SUPP was 37%. A conservative estimate would put the decline at less than 5%. A more aggressive estimate would give the DAP as much as 70% of the Chinese vote.

My prediction is based on the assumption that DAP would get somewhere between 68% to 69% of the Chinese vote. In a close race such as this, where every vote counts, a 1% swing in the Chinese vote translates roughly into a difference of 500 votes in the overall majority.

There are a number of factors which can account for the expected fall in the Chinese support for BN. Unhappiness with the incumbent chief minister and the uncertainty of the impending leadership transition, infighting within SUPP, a number of campaign issues which can have local salience, such as the ‘Allah’ issue, are some of the more prominent factors.

The crucial point here is that there are a number of factors which can, and probably will, decrease the level of Chinese support for SUPP, and there are few campaign issues which can be used by the Sarawak-based party to counter attack DAP. Hence, the only direction the Chinese support for SUPP can take is down.

NONEBut unless the swing in the Chinese vote is significant – by 7% or more – DAP still needs to swing some of the Iban vote in its favour.

The level of Iban support for SUPP was approximately 80% in 2008. A 1% swing in the Iban vote will result in a change of 100 votes in the overall majority. If some of the salient local issues, including the ‘Allah’ issue – which is much more likely to affect the practice of Christianity among the BM-speaking Iban compared to the Chinese- and English-speaking Foochow – have traction, it would not be surprising to see a slight decrease in the Iban vote.

My prediction is based on a swing of 5% in the Iban vote against SUPP, and in my opinion, it’s a rather conservative estimate.

I assume that there is no change in the level of Melanau/Malay support for SUPP, which will remain at a high level of approximately 85% – the 2008 level. It would be naive to think that PAS would be able to swing any Melanau/Malay support to the DAP candidate given that it has almost no grassroots presence in Sarawak.

Finally, I also assume that BN will have a dominant 2,500-vote majority in the postal votes, which was what it was in 2008. This majority may shift slightly because the latest electoral roll shows that there are slightly over 2,500 postal voters in the constituency.

DAP leaders seem hungrier

Apart from the uncertainty associated with predicting changes in voting patterns by ethnic group, there are also the challenges associated with predicting the impact of some of the ‘immeasurables’, notably vote-buying and postal-vote tampering.

My prediction has already factored in vote-buying in that I assume that the same level of vote-buying that had been practiced would continue to have the same effect. Of course, in a by-election, the stakes are much higher which means that more money and incentives can be thrown in at the eleventh hour to swing the necessary number of votes to win the by-election in question. This was one of the contributory factors in the BN victory in Hulu Selangor.

NONEHowever, given the already high levels of support for SUPP among the Iban and the Malay/Melanau areas, my belief is that the impact of additional resources spent on vote-buying will not have any additional effect on the voting behaviour of these groups of voters.

In other words, those who could not be ‘bought off’ before, for whatever reason, in the previous elections, would not be able to be ‘bought off’ this time around, even with greater monetary incentives.

In terms of postal-vote tampering, since polling agents from the respective parties are not allowed to observe the voting process, the usual practices associated with ‘pressuring’ postal voters, mostly in the army in the case of Sibu, may be ramped up. But again, given the already high percentage of SUPP support among postal voters (94% in 2008), I do not anticipate a significant increase in the majority gained by SUPP from the postal votes.

In addition, I do not take into account of the small but possibly significant factor of the independent candidate, Nawawi Haron, who may take a handful of crucial Malay/Melanau votes away from BN.

I end with where I began – back at the DAP headquarters.

NONEMy sense is that the DAP leaders are desperate to win this by-election. All internal feuds, which were not as serious as the ones faced by PKR in Hulu Selangor, have been put aside for this by-election.

It seems that the Peninsular-based DAP leaders have allowed Sarawak DAP to ‘run the show’ as it were and provide the necessary support in other ways. This was not an advantage enjoyed by DAP in 2008.

The DAP leaders seem hungrier and more motivated. They know that every vote counts and are willing to work as hard as possible to turn out every single pro-opposition voter. I think it is this motivation that will provide the final edge for DAP to emerge victorious with a paper-thin margin of less than 500 votes.

 

ONG KIAN MING holds a PhD in political science from Duke University.