DAP/SUPP “Popular,Likeable or Winnable..?”

   Chong alias Ah Jin (MP Chong Chieng Jen) is an icon and unbeatable.P195 Bandar Kuching  is very much a bastion for DAP and only, unless the people reject DAP outright or a miracle happens the BN/SUPP or any of the coalition partners will stand a chance to beat him.

Bandar Kuching P195 according to the latest SB/JASA/political analyst survey,statistics,figures and ground feel is still 70/30 leaning towards DAP. What does the BN Sarawak coalition and in particular the “seat allocated party SUPP” needs to do.? Where is the line which draws the voters back to SUPP? Frankly,if you ask any non political affiliated person they will reply”Virtually impossible against Chong as his smile is very contagious and he has the iconic look  and SUPP should concentrate on the other seats.”

{ However,There is an achilles heel for everyone though including MP Chong. We will get to that in another article }

Surely,politicians would not buy that and if the struggle is uphill it gives them more satisfaction to close the gap. Where does it put SUPP or the ruling BN coalition? Word on the ground swirling like a tornado is that the BN Sarawak is considering a three pronged attack to dispel all doubts that the BN4 is not in tandem with each other. SUPP falls into this category too and it would be seen as trying to put the “disatisafcation and unhappiness” to the backburner by naming three(3) BN direct candidates.

The names appear at the tip of ones tongue PRS will have to content with incumbent MP Billy Abit,SPDP with incumbent Tiki Lafe and SUPP will have to make do with an outside assistance in Popular Mayor James Chan. (backdoor also open is a senatorship if he fails to wrestle the seat)

3 BN direct candidates means that the BN coalition cannot blame anyone for interference as it will be based on facts ,figures and reports on the ground for a “MOST WINNABLE BN CANDIDATE” that surpasses all party lines. There will be a lot of anger plus sabotaging the party machinery in certain places but afterall the Candidate stands on a BN ticket and not party ticket.

Lets clear all doubts first. The person is chosen. The party recommends through their election committees, through their Supreme Council and the BN Sarawak Chairman vets through and BN Chairman will have the final say. Its a process and candidates cannot be chosen just on popularity,likeability or party support. “ITS THE TOTAL PACKAGE”

Many within the coalition will have more than words to say about us writing this article. As a coalition partner in BN ‘a seat won is a seat for BN towards the 222 parliamentary seat” P195 is no exception and Pakatan/DAP v BN/SUPP will be a titanic battle this time round.

A BN YB mentioned to us a couple of weeks that we must write without “fear or favour“as this will help to double check the YBs and in a way ensure that they carry out their “peoples representative work when the people voted them in. However he said all the “political manouverings or strategies” must not be published openly as it will be just like giving the numbers to your bank account.

When the Star journalists Raynore Mering wrote “CHEERING FOR THE UNDERDOG“ it gave us the perfect timing to give our two cents opinions and many months of covert operations work to the fore. The SB too shared with us many hours of discussion,deliberations and fiting the jigsaws. P195 SUPP needs to stand strong together as their membership alone is enough to roll over DAP many times over.

Raynore wrote”the party is dreaming if it thinks it could recapture Bandar Kuching and Sibu” So yes,I am rooting for SUPP not because of anything but to see the party beat the odds“

Is that A Message in a Bottle?

Putting aside all the rivalries, internal quarrels,ungentlemanly conducts and whatever ,whatnots it seems that P195 is a battleground which is within reach of a miracalous victory if SUPP puts their THINKING HEADS on.

Tan Kai a “likeable” SUPP Youth Chief even had dreams of taking his place inside Parliament as P195 MP with a razor thin victory of 6 votes.

Lately though,Mayor Chans name has surfaced way above as a political elitists as there is a strong undercurrent of him being a Popular and Winnable Candidate. CM Sarawak Taib knows that every vote counts if P195 is to be regained from DAP. Taib has only kind words for Mayor Chan who he describes as “very friendly and approachable.He maintained good strong relationship with the people”

Moreover Taib says Chan “cares for the people”. Taib  also said he hopes to get more leaders like him,those who are sincere and willing to listen and serve the people and talk to me on the needs of the people.’

BN Sarawak Chairman has given ‘thumbs up for Mayor Chan” and his candidacy cannot be ruled out if BN harbours the slightest chance of winning the seat from DAP Chong.

Tan Kai in a telephone interview said” Mayor Chan is a dstant possibility to be chosen as candidate but if the ground swell on the 3 BN direct seats bears fruition,we will have our work cut out and there must be a compromise somewhere and somehow or else it be no good for BN in totality.”

BN YBs are all under close surveillance and those hoping to be renominated will need to ensure they fulfill all the requirements. If not their time is up and it will mean a lot of convincing and lobbying to be given the ticket again. The same also goes for the other political divide in Pakatan. The person who is chosen to represent the coaltion must not only be politically attuned but also needs to have the charisma and be a peoples representative as the people will not take any more prisoners in GE13.

P195 is but one seat which makes up the other 222 seats in the Malaysian Parliament. SUPP and DAP will battle it out in this one urban seat and at the end of the day the candidate which appeals to the voters will have his day in Parliament when he is sworn in after the GE13.

WHO IS BN P195 CHOICE DEPENDS ON THE WINNABILITY OF THE CANDIDATE…

DAP Sarawak”BN glass shatters 12 seats or more..?..!!”

It seems the prediction made by Lim Guan Eng CM Penang on penetrating the bastion of Sarawak BN of 12 seats might justs come true now. Previously he could have justs based it on the troubles within SPDP and SUPP. But now it does seem the infection is about to be spread to PRS.

Did it take SPDP or SUPP insider to make sure that PRS does not become complacent or overwhelming confident? Did they know that PRS has some weak achilles heel? Surely not, as James Masing is confident and bold enough to predict that the opposition will lose all the 6 seats they contests against BN/PRS which has appeared consistently in the main stream media.

Now the game plan has changed. Former PRS youth exco and now DAP Branch chairman Leon Jimat Donald has indeed got back at his former boss in Youth Chief Mong Dagang. The case of the disabled man Frusis Lebi being given a letter signed by Assistant Minister of Agriculture Mong Dagang as directive to his officer to stop all subsidies and welfare allowance as Frusis had supported the opposition.

This has indeed propelled Leons rating and his willingness to fight all out for Frusis has indeed won him many new friends in Facebook,social media blogs and even amongst BN leaders. BN leaders and grassroots are indeed puzzled as to why the Minister should have used a letterhead of the department to inform the assistant director. Could he justs have not called him to the office?

Strange but damage has been done.

But we justs hope that BN members would not all call for the assistant minister to step down. In other countries the minister would have hung his head in shame and leave office without much fanfare. The people will defend no doubt that its the prerogative of the Chief Minister as far as minster appointments are concerned.

Doesn’t this give the CM a chance to promote someone else and use this as a punishment for misusing the office. The CM will be commended by the people and no less Najib who uses the slogan,”People first,Performce now”

There are many in the BN who have come out to condone the action by Mong Dagang and below are few of the quotes:-

1. Kota Belud MP Abdul Rahman Dahlan, who initially suspected the directive signed by Mong was fake, said on microblogging site Twitter today that the act was “old politics” and “wrong .Aid to the poor and OKUs must be beyond political affiliations
2. Gerakan Youth chief Liew Pok Boon expressed “shock” over Mong’s directive.
3. Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department Koh Tsu Koon said the government would not allow similar incidents to happen.”I believe the federal government will not do things like this.

Now it has gotten worse with James Masing coming to the rescue of his Youth Chief and assistant minister.Masings was quoted by the media,”Masing told voters to “follow a rule of life – jangan lawan towkay [don't fight the bosses]” following Dagang’s directive to cancel the aid to the disabled man. 

Isn’t this music to the ears of the opposition?

Surely, CM Penang LGE who was in Sibu musts have have a big smile when these news broke out. His prediction did not include PRS safe seats. Now in his little black book he musts be penning another ‘winnable seat” in Sri Aman which is being held by BN/PRS MP Masir Kudat.

Could James Masings statement come back and haunt him as he now has to battle the negative perception of the voters in his 6 seats. This news will filter through to all the 6 seats as the opposition are now even more determined to battle against PRS. 

Even PKR YB  See Chee How was stunned whatmore DAP CM LGE,”“One would have expected Masing, as a senior minister, to control the damage inflicted on the Barisan Nasional government in the wake of Dagang’s action.”

There are a number of seats which are termed 50/50 and winnable by the opposition. Is there an underlining message from CM Taib that the Fedral needs him more than ever to deliver the seats as 12 or more might justs fall if he is not at the helm. CM Taib lead the coalition to winning the State Elections by winning 55 over 16 losed seats. 

We do not want to be called soothsayers/clairvoyants in predicting losses for BN or else we might justs have our computers taken away with directive from you know who…hik hik hik. Our reporting is based on groundswell,JASA,Federal government agencies,SB and party members who are talking only about the 31 parliamentary seats.

Some of the BN grey/black seats belongs to:-

• 1.P192-Mas Gading Tiki Lafe SPDP(Party Infighting)
• 2.P196-Stampin Yong Khoon Seng SUPP( Party infighting-Chinese voters) 
• 3.P199-Serian Richard Riot SUPP (Party Infighting)
• 4.P120 Batang Sadong-Nancy Shukri PBB(candidate infighting) 
• 5.P201 Batang Lupar-Rohani Abdul Karim PBB (candidate infighting)
• 6.P202 Sri Aman-Masir Kujat PRS(voters anger)
• 7. P203 Lubok Antu -William Ngallau Badak PRS (voters anger)
• 8. P205-Saratok Jelaing Mersait SPDP (party infighting)
• 9. P208 Sarikei-Ding Kuong Hing SUPP (party infighting-chinese voters)
• 10.P211 -Lanang Tiong Thai King (Party infighting-Chinese voters )
• 11.P213 Mukah-Leo Toyad  PBB(candidate infighting)
• 12.P216 Ulu Rejang Billy Abit PRS (candidate infighting-voters anger)
• 13.P219 Miri Peter Chin Fah Kui (Party infighting -chinese voters)
• 14. P220 Baram Jacob Sagan SPDP(Party infighting)
• 15.P221 Limbang Hasbi Habibolah PBB(Candidate infighting)

It counts as breakdown for the BN party as PBB 4 seats,SUPP 5 seats,PRS 3 seats and SPDP 3 seats. This is not very healthy and if Najib sees this figures he musts be realistic enough to know all is not well in Sarawak. The opposition DAP at present time has 2 seats in P195 Kuching Chong Chieng Jen and P212 Wong Ho Leng.

Najib will be overly worried as it looks very fragile for BN in general going to the GE13. The opposition calls UBAH,No more PEK MOH meaning down with CM Taib in urban areas have won them 12 seats for DAP 1 PKR in the last state elections,2 rural for PKR and 1 independant.Will Najib not be concerned of Taibs administration now with even his senior Minister James Masing shattering the BN glass house.

It is of a very deep concern and CM Taib musts be overly worried looking over his shoulders and wondering what is next. Action and Ruthless actions musts be taken in order to secure his own position. It seems PRS has now given him a new headache and the normal medications prescribed will not be enough if he does not go for some antibiotics.

A quick injection would and might see an end to Mongs political career but a big face saving exercise for Taibs adminstration.

Najib would use it as “WE BN do take actions when necessary to ensure our legislators follow the rule of democracy and LIM GUAN ENG will be silenced at the polls”

BN “Which YB Seat Will Fall..?”

WHICH BN/YB SEAT WILL FALL ?

When I was asked this question at Christmas time in Bau I was dumbstrucked but still managed a smile.  Am I going to be truthful and make them happy just for the sake of the yuletide season? No way, so  I replied DAP/YB from Sentosa and Pending.

Cheh..It’s like a tsunami hitting Bau town maybe they will be ousted said a former headmaster. I have hit the ‘core” of their conversation and it has irked them. 

 These two YBs Chong Chieng Jen and Violet Yong are unshakeable come what may in the eyes of the many “elders” of the bidayuh hinterland in this village/kampung which was present at the open house.” { The elders are so called here as they will have the final say in matters of the whole family.If one goes against their wishes they will be cast aside and away from the family. }  

How well they know the politics is that they have their sons and daughters who are working and living in the urban areas. Others they would not dare to speculate as they see SUPP has hardly reformed and will find it still difficult to recover the ” losts ” seats.

If  the party president George Chan does something drastic and put in a team of ‘very new and dynamic faces” and drop some of the existing YBs the voters might just be swayed. Other than that SUPP will still have a mountain to climb.

Just then a young engineer in the 30′s butted in.You see,”BN YBs from the coalition are just not doing enough some of them I dont want to mention names and are thinking or “sleeping on their jobs”that they will be voted back in with the amount of money,machinery at their disposal.

 

Have the Rural YBs check their EYES recently?

Can’t they tell that mosts of the young ones are in towns and they will tell the elders who to vote and why? The politics of yesteryears are things of the pasts.  When the election is called before July 2011 many information will be shared and it seems the BN regime will be in for a major hurdle. No Seat is safe and now the people are starting to count which BN/YB will fall.

We do not want to be the prophets of doom for the BN YBs but seriously and honestly have you yorselves YBs done enough to be elected again to the State legislative Council or Parliament? The  DAP YBs and 1 PKR YB are not exactly faultless. They don’t have the development funds to see them through but somehow or rather they still manage to strike the ‘ nerve point” of the people of their constituency.   

The word on the ground is obviously now,”Who will FALL.?” Even YB Peter Nansian N2 Tasik Biru is under threat and he knows it. There is a significant drop in visitors to his ‘open house” from nearby constituents and he knows that he has to double his efforts to maintain his stranglehold.

He even used the scouts motto,” Be Prepared” to  stay ahead of the opposition which has been very busy moving about in his area. He has been diligent,been working hard and above all he will not let his guard down.

The elders said others we worry as there are too many unfavourable stories,gossips and rumours but we can’t see Nansian been caught with his pants down.

The differance always lies with the responsible YBs themselves. One though should not even cry a little tear for those who thinks that they are in the position because they deserve it.

“The people put you there the people will remove you” 

There are many issues at the moment which needs to be addressed by the ruling coalition before they are ready to face the people for a new mandate. If the State and Parliament elections are held simultaneously we will not know how the people will vote. It could mean like the old days,‘State we give to BN ,Parliament to Opposition.”

What if ,Pakatan makes significant inroads in Peninsular Malaysia? Isn’t this dangerous ground for the present BN coalition. The Pakatan will use whatever means to get to PutraJaya and BN will need to be on their toes. The Propaganda machines available at each others disposal will play a very huge part in the next general elections.

The village elders said,”Everywhere its just a touch of the button” and the YBs must know where to find them and how to turn them into votes.Their final message was,” 

PAY THE PRICE FOR ARROGANCE  

DAP Sarawak’s “Incessant Attacks on Taib”

It was early morning and at 7am DAP supporters were all out in full force. Their strategy cover as much ground as possible at all the coffeshops in the Kuching area. Why? The political bureau and the strategic think tank has come out with a very eye catching leaflet which is bi-lingual to capture and inform the people of Taib Mahmud. First meeting with the DAP members at Green Heights at 7.30am.

It is almost incessant attack and the leaflets which are printed to the tune of 100,000 in each division according to a DAP party member will be distributed state wide by all the members in each respective divisions and DAP branches. audie61 happened to make his way for another brunch meeting with a business partner and met MP Chong Chieng jen at 11.15am at Chonglin Park.

The DAP supporters were having their brunch together with MP Chong and we asked him is there any significance in choosing the leaflet printed in purple? Could it be Purple Rain by Prince? Also the tree roots looks very devilish hmmmm.

 He smiled “Imagination and somehow It does look more SINISTER.” Don’t you agree?

We covered an article earlier http://audie61.wordpress.com/2010/10/05/dap-chong-running-out-of-ideas/ and somehow this is a CHANCED MEETING with MP Chong and he said “WE all got our own responsibilites and today we are distributing the leaflets asking for answers.

Its simple “WE HAVE FIVE QUESTIONS FOR TAIB:

• 1.Are the reports about Taib’s family overseas properties true?
•  2.if these reports are true,what is the salary of the Chief Minister of sarawak? How could Taib’s children have such huge amounts of money to buy such overseas properties at such a young age?
• 3. Other than the properties reported in the website,are there any other property owned by Taib’s family members or their companies? What is the worth of all these properties?
• 4.Why is Taib’s family so wealthy and yet,the state of Sarawak which has been under Taib’s leadership for the past 30 years,ranks 10th in the Composite Development Index in Malaysia making Sarawak the fourth least developed state in Malaysia?
•  5. If the reports are untrue,what action will Taib take against the writer and publisher of the reports?



audie61 plainly said to MP Chong”The fact remains however that Taib will just brush this allegations and lies aside and leave it to the people to judge for themselves. He will point to the fact that under his leadership the state has enjoyed tremendous growth in terms of development and advancement.”

Chong countered saying the people knows and its a matter of time only and his lieutenants will also be wondering what hit them. IT WILL BE A LITTLE TOO LATE…

After their quick lunch the supporters and members went on another round of distribution at some new areas in Bandar Kuching.

AM very sure you will receive a Purplish leaflet Soon….

“DAP Chong Running out of Ideas…??”

The intensity of Taib calling for the dissolution anytime from now till July 2011 must have bothered MP Bandar Kuching Chong Chieng Jen. Has he turned from SUPP slayer to pinpoint now directly to Taib.? A voter from Kuching said,”Has Chong become too big for his boots and he now wants to draw the CM Taib to Bandar Kuching area? He should not do that as it might just backfire on him?

There has many one to many articles in the blogsphere on Taibs properties,richness and wealth overseas that Chong has brought up but Taib remains unmoved and too quiet for Chongs liking.He feels that Taib is not even bothered that he wants to draw the CM Taib on to another issue.

Is this worth mentioning? In  a press conference yesterday, Chong said Taib should not “hide” in rural areas like Balingian but instead contest in the state capital as it is only fitting for a Chief Minister to do so.“Why hide in the rural areas with only a few thousand voters. Come to Kuching. The DAP is inviting you,” he said..

Chong said there are five state seats in Kuching that Taib could choose from

What irked and left a bad taste of overzealousness on Chong’s part was by adding this ,”SUPP would be willing to swap a seat with Taib for the rural area. It justs goes too show that Chong is putting himself in a tight spot. This could just take away his invincibility in the eyes of mosts Sarawak voters. The question and equation is very simple now.

WHAT IF PBB INVITES CHONG TO COME AND STAND IN BALINGIAN INSTEAD..??

CHONG IS CALLING THE BLUFF BUT HAS HE DUG A DEEPER HOLE FOR HIMSELF.

LETS SEE HOW HE WRIGGLES OUT OF THIS. HE COULD HAVE JUST TOUCHED THE NERVE POINTS OF PBB SUPPORTERS FOR THIS UNCALLED CHALLENGE.

His DAP colleague would have been wise enough to tell him,”please stick to original script and we would not have extra enemies to fend off.” 

CHONG, COULD YOU HAVE JUST LIGHTED THE WRONG FIREWORKS .?? HE KNOWS THOUGH HE IS ANSWERABLE FOR HIS ACTIONS…….

“2992″ Who Has Who Dies.??’

The battle of Bukit Assek in Sibu Constituency N45 will see if it materialises two heavyweights slugging it out for the 2992 newly registered voters. Pretty sure the number 2992 wil be sold out in the gambling outlets tomorrow.

 The numbers if you add up 2+9+2+9=22 { 2+2=4 }and during the last count the total registered numbers were 26002= 10 and add in 2992=28994 for the next State elections. Numbers plays a significant part in the daily lives of those who indulge in a little flutter of some sort. They are also indicators of some sort on where the “feng shui” of numbers will favour.

Nothing superstitious but with MP Tiong Thai King of SUPP and ADUN Wong Ho Leng in a keenly fought contest they will of course be a casualty.One has to lose and 4 signifies Death while the winner will have the number 5 which is Have what it takes to Win. 

Its already up in FACEBOOK where Wong Ho Leng DAP Sarawak Chairman where he alleged that ,”Someone fr SUPP had moved in voters from other areas. Voters changed their IC address with false addresses and moved into Bukit Assek,”. However Minister of Environment and Public Health, Wong Soon Koh said most of the new voters are youth aged 21 who are now eligible to vote.

Ysterday we wrote,”BN ..Not End .Certainly some Black Areas” and in it we said,”

Barring any miracles of course the BN will still maintain the 2/3rd majority and will not cruise through like what SUPP President George Chan has confidently said.

What do you expect him to say said a graduate in business studies? Of course after losing heavily 8 out of 19 seats he needs to rally his troops and put up a Brave Face eventhough he knows DEEP DOWN IN HIS GUT that SUPP will face their usual adversary in DAP and expects a TOUGH OUTING AGAIN.

Its a psychological game of political wits and whatever propagander is needed to ensure one has the edge over the other. SUPP will go on an all out attack to “CHOP OFF THE SNAKES HEAD” which is a term commonly used by tacticians  and gain back lost ground and they will be more than satisfied to send Wong Ho Leng to the abyss.

The DAP Chairman is well prepared and he has been ruthless to say the least in maintaining party discipline.The suspension of DAP N11 Assemblyman is a good indicator of the no nonsence approach of DAP Sarawak. He has wasted no time in putting his foot down and many political analysts say it is within his right as Sarawak party head. He needs to stabilise the party as it gets ready to do battle with their common enemy SUPP.

It will indeed be a 2992 battle between Wong Ho Leng (incumbent) against MP Tiong if he is chosen by the SUPP hierarchy. This will be an interesting heavyweight battle if it materialises. Have you bought your numbers yet..???

“DAP 3 seats Bye Bye..SUPPs Back..??”

SUPP will go into the next state elections knowing very well that they will be given the same amount of seats to contest. This is very significant and important to SUPP eventhough the other component parties have every intention of benefitting from SUPPs loses and the component parties gains.

The losts seats N9 Padungan N10 Pending N11 Batu Lintang N12 Kota Sentosa (Kuching area) N 28 Engkilili N 40 Meradong N45 Bukit Assek. There has been talks of seat swapping as BN will look at ways and means to win all losts seats back into the fold. The opposition DAP(6)Keadilan(1) and Independants (2) won 9 seats altogether out of the total 71 seats in the 2006 State elections. { SUPP losts 8 out of 19 seats contested in 2006}

George Chan SUPP President and James Masing PRS President said that there will not be any seat swapping in the next State elections. However George did continue to elaborate,”If there must be any swapping of seats it must be done on the principle of consensus,meaning all top BN party leaders must agree to such an arrangement.” 

There were a number of phone calls received by audie61 crew and mosts of them said in a nutshell,’ Isn’t this contradictory? Also SUPP is showing that they are second in command in the state coalition and this will make James chew his words when the time comes.

The Borneo Posts article which appeared on Page 3 has irked many,”I want to stress here that only a PRS member can be nominated to represent BN.If the person is not from PRS,is it right to put him there? I leave you all to your own judgements and opinions as we have covered this statement a few days back.  Click here:-http://audie61.wordpress.com/2010/02/15/pelagus-james-my-mandate/

The whole hoo- hahs this morning was not so much the seat swappings but the boldness of SUPP President in predicting that SUPP will win back all the seats losts in Kuching and thus reclaim their HOLY GRAIL,”AN  APPOINTED MAYOR FROM THE SUPPS RANKS”

DAP members are very happy in capturing the SUPPs 3 strongholds  and they are not just going to hand it over the platter to SUPP. Some of them when interviewed said,” SUPP is thinking with our infighting there are chances of them making a claim back and waving bye bye to DAP.

A DAP voter added,” Lets see after the next elections and whether SUPP will not go the same where like Gerakan in Peninsular (a near wash out) George is whipping up the war cry to all party members to close ranks and also use this to ensure what is losts will be gained back. However the voter continued he must remember what is losts can be gained  and what looks secured can be losts a good example was the losts of two Assistant Ministers to a virtual unknown (then) and peoples favourite Chong.

The dice have been thrown and its up to the parties concerned and involved in the next State elections to ensure that their party nominated hopeful/candidate will be voted in by the people.

SUPPs organising secretary Peter Chin put it very nicely,”we will look at all angles to ensure that our candidates have credibility ad well liked by the people.” He must have taken a leaf out of Anwars speech who said it was his mistake in picking up the wrong PKR candidates in the last GE and SUPP will not want mud thrown back at them.

The extract from Malaysiakini portal (“We were short on everything – money, suitable candidates, time and conditions in which to campaign. So I had to go with what we had and today some of the choices look pretty bad.

I apologise for this and I promise that in the next round, our candidates will be clean, strong and interested in not what contracts they can gain but in what they can offer to the people in terms of what is within their rights to expect of their leaders and of this nation.”

Is it so easy to regain the 3 losts seats and wave bye bye to DAP? There are no certainties in politics and if all ground works and machinery are mobilised there should not be any TEARS SHED………