ANWAR “SARAWAK 2011″..Rural Seats Your ENEMY..?

Malaysiakini portal has this report http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/86668  in which Anwar’s trip to Kuching was postponed. State PKR Chairman Dominique Ng said that the police has withheld the permit so“We want to avoid any untoward incident like people being arrested so we decided to put it off,”. Word has it that the State Administration are worried that there will be snowball effect as some pressing issues like the Bakun evictions and proposed 12 dams issue has already put the state in a very precarious position. Anwars agenda is temporarily halted but some of his lieutenants will be making their presence felt. The show must go on and the seminar will still be held. Will the GE Political tsunami be one of the topics.?

We all know that March 2008 is a milestone for Malaysian Politics. The opposition denied the ruling Barisan National government of 2/3 rd majority in Parliament. The body count stands as 140-82. Does it signify anything for the political landscape for Malaysia. Of course says many a few where there will be transparency following which the government legislators will be balanced and checked.

Sarawak Barisan National was hit with a small wave in May 2005 with 9 seats falling to the opposition. In comparison to March 2008 this was just a very insignificant jolt in the administration. Or is it?

Will Sarawak BN enjoy keeping the same number of seats or wrestled back some of the losts seats in the next state elections..? Its an interesting  scenario. I had an oppurtunity to discuss with a a number of Barisan ADUNS and there were quite confident in retaining their seats. Why..? Obviously the rural seats are the bastion and the backbone of the BN government and the “dacing”symbol plays a very significant role in these areas. Even James Masing of PRS is unmoved with the Pakatans “rallying cry’ of progress into the rural hinterland. He is concerned but not worried it seems according to an aide.

Why is BN SARAWAK not too worried.?.There will be some ripple effects but …

1.  Sarawak government will not be insensitve in demolishing Indian or chinese temples or even churches eventhough the land is to make way for Development.(NCR Land issue only)
2. National issues will not have much effect in Sarawak.
3. Only infighting in parties will see an increase from the 9 fallen seats but political analysts are looking at 28 out of 71 seats.

How is that the YBS are from rural designate constituencies and by virtue of being close to the grassroots there are certainly difficult to dislodge from their seats. Personality plays a very  significant part and in todays Political landscape the YBS have to market, promote themselves as one of the voters friend. The bottom line is that the YBS of today are advertising themselves more than in the pasts and these few YBs are really unleashing their Potential in this Change of political landscape as Anwars armies charges forward.

The Changes expected will see State administrators from Opposition and Government State Legislators battling it out in for 71 Seats. Who has a seat will depend whether the YBS in question heed the battlecry of the wave and the changes it signifies.

For those aspiring candidates for the Battle of Sarawak 2011 make early preparations as the saying goes”Early Bird catches the Worm”. Anwar and Pakatan will know that conquering the rural seats will not be so simple as telling the dayaks and natives that “a Dayak CM” is long overdue. Both sides are looking over their shoulders as the day of reckoning approaches. Anwar your September 16th date comes first and as a Keadilan member said,”Federal first then State easier”….Agree..?